Notional Slurry Logo

Count the risks and add them up… right?

At Mahalanobis, a core shortcoming of lay understanding of risks and decision-making is pointed out very clearly:

Risk management is not about enumeration, but prioritization. Everything, at some level of indulgence, is risky. Not noting that anal sex is 1000 times riskier than vaginal sex, or that smokeless tobacco is 10% as risky as cigarettes, misinforms people who need accurate data to make good decisions. Remember the government will lie or omit important qualifications when they see fit, whether the greater good is to avoid stereotyping or something else.

jim said,

November 15, 2005 @ 7:39 pm

Risk exposure is likelihood times impact. When impact is death, variations in likelihood (above some threshold) don’t matter very much. It is true that women should engage solely in lesbian sex, though, since that’s fairly close to zero likelihood of incurring AIDS (there may have been one case of such transmission) and all other sex incurs significant likelihood. But I haven’t seen any propaganda, government or otherwise, pushing this.

RSS feed for comments on this post · TrackBack URI

Leave a Comment