This is arguably a poorly formed concept since its meaning can vary wildly depending on the referent of “you” but, hey, if Mr. Tozier is silly enough to tag me I’ll play along .

I’ll start with something really random and…

I was thinking about futurism the other day, and what if we all created little nugget predictions and then let people buy/sell them with play money in a stock market, and see what trends emerged?

They have one of those with real money in John Brunner’s “The Shockwave Rider”. Of course, the market is manipulated.

But there is the foresight exchange It doesn’t look hugely busy, but it could be interesting as an indicator of what people are thinking,

Those with the most money on the scoreboard would obviously be the ones you’d want to watch when they made new predictions. It’d have to be transparent to make sure game theory didn’t get in the middle of it, and if it became popular would it not be that the most popular predictors would actually be encouraging their predictions to become true — “Tozier said it’s going to happen, so we best get R&D ramped up for it now” — as self-fulfilling prophecies.

I like the idea though.

P.S. — sorry I tagged you with this meme, but reading back through your blog, I thought you might have some interesting characteristics, and I was right.